How to determine the strength of a horizontal level by the number of touches and volume
How to Determine the Strength of a Horizontal Level by the Number of Touches and Volume
Horizontal support and resistance levels are the cornerstone of technical analysis, reflecting price points where significant buying or selling activity has bee
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n observed previously. Correctly identifying these levels and assessing their strength is critical for making informed trading decisions. The strength of such a level depends not only on its historical significance but also on the current market reaction, which is manifested through the number of touches and trading volumes.
Touches as a Strength Criterion
The number of times the price touches a horizontal level is one of the most intuitive criteria for its strength. As a rule, the more times the price approaches a level and bounces off it, the more significant it is considered. A level that the price has approached two or three times and consistently bounced from signals the formation of a strong zone of interest where whales protect their positions. Such multiple tests confirm the presence of significant demand at a support level or supply at a resistance level. However, it is important to note that not all touches are equal. More recent touches have greater relevance than older ones. Furthermore, there is a flip side: testing a level too frequently without a decisive breakout may indicate that it is thinning out and weakening. If the price is grinding through a level or constantly consolidating near it, this may indicate that liquidity at this level is being exhausted, and the probability of a breakout increases.
Volume as Confirmation
Trading volume plays a key role in confirming the strength of horizontal levels. It acts as fuel for price movement and reflects the activity of market participants. There are two main types of volumes for analysis: vertical and horizontal.
Vertical volumes show the total trading volume for a specific time interval (a candle or a bar). High vertical volume as the price approaches a level followed by a bounce indicates active participation from buyers at support or sellers at resistance, confirming the level’s strength. Low or average volume upon reaction to a level, by contrast, may signal weak defense of the level and increase the probability of a breakout.
Horizontal volumes, or Volume Profile, are a more detailed tool because they show the distribution of trading volume across specific price points. Levels where the highest horizontal volume is concentrated often act as powerful support or resistance zones because this is where the largest number of trades occurred. This means that a consensus was reached between buyers and sellers at these price points, which gives the level additional weight.
Comprehensive Analysis of Touches and Volume
The most effective approach is to analyze the number of touches and volume simultaneously. A level is considered particularly strong if it has several clear touches, each accompanied by a spike in trading volume that confirms the market reaction.
When the price approaches a support level followed by a bounce, the increase in volume on a bullish reversal candle indicates an influx of buyers and high interest in that level. Similarly, at a resistance level, high volume during a bearish bounce confirms the dominance of sellers. If the price decisively breaks a level, and this breakout is accompanied by a sharp increase in volume, it is a strong signal of a genuine breakout and the possible beginning of a new trend movement. The absence of significant volume during a breakout, on the other hand, often indicates a fakeout intended to hunt the stop-losses of inexperienced traders.
Fakeouts and How to Avoid Them
Fakeouts are a common trap in trading, and volume helps to identify them.